Wind Speed and AOA Discussion
There was a slight breeze
at ground level when Orange Crush was launched. At the time,
it was estimated to be in the 5-7 mph range and can even be heard in the
sound track of the video. The wind was basically blowing from left
to right in the video. You can even see the first puff of smoke
translate away from the pad just before liftoff. It is possible to
estimate the wind speed by measuring how far this puff of smoke travels
and scaling the distance using the known length of the rocket in the
image. It is a rough estimate since the puff of smoke has very ill
defined edges as it disperses and also because it might not be traveling
exactly across the field of view. For example, it might be traveling
slightly away from the camera. At any rate, by scaling the
dimensions off two images that are 35 frames apart, it looks like the
smoke puff translated 147 inches or 12.25 feet. The video is at 30 frames
per second so 35 frames is 1.17 seconds. Therefore, the smoke
traveled 12.25/1.17 = 10.5 feet/sec. This is equivalent to 7.2 mph.
The wind speed above ground level remains unknown. The bottom line
is, Orange Crush DOES appear to "lean into the wind" slightly right after
liftoff.
This crosswind will offset
the initial angle of attack (AOA) slightly. RockSim calculates that
Orange Crush departed the 8 foot launch rail going 59 mph. A 7 mph
crosswind creates a 6.8 degree AOA. However, as Orange Crush weather vanes
more into the direction of the wind and as it rapidly picks up speed this
AOA will decrease. It seems unlikely that this small AOA
caused the stability margin to degrade enough to produce the loop
maneuver. On the other hand, our wind data is all at ground level.
Could there have been a gust of wind up a little higher? It
would have to be a very strong gust of wind and it would have to be fairly
low since Orange Crush started to lean to the left almost right from
liftoff. The lean just kept getting worse until suddenly it swapped
ends. No such gust was felt at ground level.
Motor Discussions
One question that keeps
coming up is whether there was any off center thrust from the motor.
However, the motor nozzle was carefully inspected before and after the
flight. No problems were seen. The assembly of the motor was
very straight forward and the nozzle should have been properly aligned
with the axis of the motor. There is really no evidence in the video
of any angled thrust from the motor.
The
N1100
motor has an offset core in the motor grain known as a moon burner.
Some people have questioned whether it is possible to have a slight thrust
asymmetry in this configuration that could cause some vectored thrusting.
If so, it has not been well documented. If it did exist, perhaps
Greg was unlucky and a small vectored thrust component happened to push
Orange Crush in the same direction that the wind was also pushing it.
In other words, two small factors combining to create a more significant
effect. Maybe, but this also seems very unlikely.
Could the motor have lost
pressure?
Could
the motor have lost pressure for a
short interval? Is that even possible? Motor experts don't
think so. See if you do by looking
at the four selected photos below. Click on each image to see a larger
version of it.